Ive already analyzed this game to death among friends in college and my other fantasy league.
Ive come to a conclusion, however unsatisfactory it is.
I believe looking strictly at the matchups you'll find that Seattle is overall a better team, but there are certain weaknesses that can be exploited with a certain amount of skill. Meanwhile Pittsburgh has many holes in their team but they can easily be over come when played in the right way.
I think to myself...now why of all the Pittsburgh teams is it the Steelers that have made the championship? The ONE Pittsburgh team I dont have in my favorite top 3 teams in certain sports. Oh well...thats besides the point.
I think both teams will try to run and run a lot and they wont stop despite both teams failing at running the ball. The bottom line is that neither of these run defenses are weak enough to exploit. So the game will come down to quarterbacks and turnovers, maybe special teams, but I havent really considered that wild card yet.
If Pittsburgh tries short passes, I suspect they will get stuffed or worse, burned. So that leaves Pittsburgh in a position where deep passes will be key, and Seattle's deep pass defense is very weak away from Trufant. Big Ben will have to look for Ward, Wilson and Randle El down the field for good production.
Seattle will continually run the ball with Alexander and he'll get some good yards, but no big runs , no game breakers. PIT's pass defense is superb with Polamalu down the line and the great LBs crowding the line giving Hasselbeck pressure. This may disorient him a bit, and theyll take some bad losses on sacks, I will be guessing.
In the end, I would pick Seattle to win because theyre the better team, but they are also brand new to the Superbowl and we have to consider wild cards. Usually franchises seeing their first superbowl flop their first go around. And you also have to consider the crowd playing in favor of Pittsburgh.
I think it will be a well fought game that Pittsburgh will win 21-17
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